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- - Don’t sleep on the break again! Sprint trains looked heavy yesterday and that diagonal tail from Belleville-en-Beaujolais could turbocharge a well-timed move. Eenkhoorn and Vermeersch are perfect picks, but I’ve got a hunch about Benjamin Thomas if Cofidis frees him early. Either way, this profile is sneaky harder than it looks — positioning into Blacé might decide the whole day.
- - Love how you laid out the terrain changes — those early 4th-category bumps plus the Ongt drag will sting just enough to soften a few legs, but with the last corner at 3 km this screams drag race. If Visma keep it tidy, Wout vs Coquard round two feels inevitable. Curious whether Jayco fully commits to Matthews or keeps powder dry for a late flyer.
- - Not sure about Wout after the TTT drop—feels like a long shot. I’d add Trentin as a sleeper if Tudor commits, and keep an eye on Hofstetter’s positioning in that long straight. Timing the launch will be everything.
- - Weather note is huge: headwind early = harder for the break to establish big gaps; tailwind finale = faster chase and potential echelons. That tilts it toward the sprinters who can climb. Godon top pick makes total sense.
- - Curious what EF does with the jersey—do they burn matches all day for Baudin’s lead, or let a non-threatening move up the road? If they hesitate, Zimmermann and Veistroffer have that punchy unpredictability to make it stick.
- - The early cluster of climbs screams breakaway, but the timing (after km 110 all flat) feels like a gift to the chasers. If a big, committed move goes over the Col de la Croix de l’Arbre, though, Mohorič and Romeo are the danger men.
- - Loving the stage breakdown! With that long downhill/flat run-in and a tailwind on the 11 km straight, I’m leaning toward a reduced bunch sprint—especially if EF keeps the leash tight. Coquard vs. Godon could be spicy.
- - Love the narrative arc here: puncture on stage 1, podium in the rain on stage 2, caught in the split on stage 3, then leader’s jersey on stageShades of Corbin Strong last year. If Sheehan pulls this off, that Wallonie-Arctic double template could be in play again.
- - Three seconds over Oliver and De Lie is nothing with one stage left. If NSN wants to keep the jersey, they’ll have to patrol every move and mop up sprint bonuses. Curious whether Sheehan goes defensive or tries another punch on the climbs—his style seems to suit the parcours.
- - De Lie needed that one. You could see the weeks of frustration come off his shoulders when he collapsed on the bars. Classic Belgian timing on home roads. Also, credit to NSN—seven guys riding strong and still brave enough to attack for bonus seconds. That’s racing.
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