Disaster on the road: How top cyclists’ Vuelta dreams crumbled in Burgos

Serene images of endless Spanish fields and beautiful mountains in the background. A breakaway group of four, sitting ducks. And then... "Caida, caida!" the Spanish commentator shouts over the stream. A massive pile-up in the second stage of the Tour of Burgos. Again. Just like on day one. This time with many victims. Big names. Classics riders, who had set their sights on a splendid autumn, starting with a strong showing in the Tour of Burgos. Unfortunately, this preparatory race too becomes one of broken dreams and broken bones.

Because the cycling year 2024 already has a common theme: many magnificent battles, whether in the spring among the classics specialists or in the summer among the top general classification riders, didn’t really materialize. Many races before the real big events resulted in dramatic mass crashes and shelved ambitions. And this while many riders didn’t even race to win, but merely to get into shape. It's a strange trend. A trend that complicated and in many cases destroyed the aspirations of Wout van Aert, Mads Pedersen, Jonas Vingegaard, Remco Evenepoel, Tao Geoghegan Hart, and many others.

In the Tour of Burgos, we see a large contingent of men who have set their sights on a distinguished place in the Vuelta. Damiano Caruso, Geoghegan Hart, and Nairo Quintana, for example. They are now either at home, in a deserted hotel, or mummified on a bike. But still plodding on, held back by sheer bad luck. By a pebble, a steering mistake, or something else trivial. Thymen Arensman barely survived all the crashes. He and others are still riding around in Burgos, hoping and praying for no more unnecessary crashes.

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The misery in Burgos fits into a long line of cursed preparatory races. Competitions, where a result for the biggest participants is a nice bonus, but the steps in the process towards peak form are much more important. Dwars door Vlaanderen knocked Van Aert out of competition for a long time and turned his year upside down. The Basque Country witnessed a horrific crash, while the greats of the sport were there only to build their form towards the Tour. And the Dauphiné produced a F-load of dropouts, just before the Tour de France. For Dylan van Baarle and Steven Kruijswijk and many others, the Tour ambitions had to be immediately crossed off their list. For Kruijswijk, it was even the third (!) time that the Dauphiné cost him his participation in the Tour.

That the top riders of the peloton - with Tadej Pogacar in 2024 as a prime example - are increasingly distancing themselves from smaller races is clear. But even for the sub-top riders and the rest of the peloton, the fear of smaller races should increase. Now that Evenepoel, Vingegaard, and Pogacar are not present in the Vuelta, the path to a top five in Spain opens up for a strong line of riders. For many riders, just participating in the Spanish tour is a dream. They prepare themselves in Burgos. They throw themselves into the narrow, gritty Spanish roads in difficult bottlenecks and black holes. Riders chasing a podium or another dream. Not now, not in Burgos. Later, in the Vuelta.

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Who will, in the future, dare to participate in the treacherous Tour of the Basque Country as preparation for peak Tour de France form? Who will risk the cobblestone monuments by facing the traps of Dwars door Vlaanderen? And who will gamble their Vuelta aspirations on the deceptive roads around Burgos, just to practice one uphill finish among four nerve-wracking others? More riders will likely reconsider their schedules, opting to train safely at altitude or at home with family, reducing their exposure to competitive races to save their best for the biggest, career-defining events.

But there's also a downside. Arriving at races without sufficient race rhythm can be a disadvantage. Part of the inherent risk in racing comes from the riders themselves, who push the limits with extremely high speeds and ever-improving equipment. They control these risks, despite the apparent dangers posed by smaller races. And then there's the notion that crashes are simply part of the sport. If in these times of faster, better, more—combined with a peloton adhering to these high standards—crashes are inevitable, we may need to brace for what's coming. And yet, real discussions on increasing (and therefore preventing) catastrophic crashes are scant. Isn’t that discussion also necessary?

Moving forward, big names might well think twice: "The Tour of Burgos this year? Maybe I'll pass on the risk..."