Tuesday’s time trial served as the first showdown among the general classification riders, and the third stage immediately presents itself as the next test. Jebel Jais has been a constant feature in the course for years, although the 19-kilometer climb has seldom caused a definitive shake-up. Tadej Pogacar expects a sprint among the climbers, and whenever that is the case, the Slovenian often comes out on top. IDLProCycling.com looks ahead.
The third stage of the UAE Tour marks the first uphill finish. However, the majority of the day will pass without any significant obstacles. The ride starts in Ras al Khaimah and covers over 170 flat kilometers to the foot of Jebel Jais. From there, the 19-kilometer climb awaits, with an average gradient of 5.6%. Not particularly steep, which means many strong climbers can handle this ascent. Only a late attack might prevent a sprint — a sprint, that is, among the best climbers.
And that is exactly what happened during the last two editions. In 2023, Einer Rubio attacked early and managed to maintain that effort to the finish. Last year, rocket installation Decathlon-AG2R’s Ben O'Connor launched himself to victory. In 2022, it was Pogacar who won the sprint ahead of then-rival Adam Yates and Aleksandr Vlasov.
Times
Start: 03:05 AM EST
Finish: 07:30 AM EST
On Wednesday, the sun awaits the riders. It will be about 24 degrees Celsius, there will be few clouds in the sky, and there will also be a moderate breeze from the west. What does the wind direction mean for the climb? Well, it means that the surrounding mountains will at times provide shelter. However, the many hairpin turns cause some sections to have a strong tailwind, while others have a significant headwind.
The big favorite for tomorrow is undoubtedly Tadej Pogacar. Wherever the Slovenian starts, and especially when it comes to climbs, he is always the major favorite. In addition to this, the climb suits him perfectly, and he has a strong team that can optimally support him. A late attacker is the only thing that seems to stand between Pogacar and the stage win. In a sprint, no one can beat the Slovenian.
Another climber with a good finishing kick is Giulio Ciccone. We should definitely keep an eye on the Italian. But even defending champion Lennert van Eetvelt just might slip away. And good luck to anyone who dares to let guys like Oscar Onley and Pello Bilbao take a lead.
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It also remains to be seen what general classification leader Joshua Tarling can do on a climb like this. Since Jebel Jais is not particularly steep, the young Brit might be able to surprise. Also, keep an eye on Pablo Castrillo. The Movistar rider put in a strong time trial performance and has proven in the Vuelta a España that he can win stages. In addition, Finn Fisher-Black is also in top form and already finished second in the first stage — speaking of a good sprint!
Finally, Carlos Rodriguez and Felix Gall are also in the mix. However, the Spaniard is not known for explosive finishes, while the Austrian hasn’t managed to win in a while. Still, it is clear that they are both excellent climbers. And who knows, Einer Rubio might pull a rabbit out of the hat again, just like he did two years ago.
Top favorites: Tadej Pogacar (UAE Team Emirates XRG)
Outsiders: Giulio Ciccone (Lidl-Trek), Lennert van Eetvelt (Lotto), Pello Bilbao (Bahrain), Pablo Castrillo (Movistar) Finn Fisher-Black (RedBull-BORA-hansgrohe)
Longshots: Joshua Tarling (INEOS), Oscar Onley (Picnic-PostNL), Carlos Rodriguez (INEOS), Felix Gall (Decathlon), Einer Rubio (Movistar), Harold Tejada (Astana) and Thomas Gloag (Visma l Lease a Bike)